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Wednesday 18 June 2014

Company Initial Public Offerings should not be viewed as a golden ticket, Warns Brewin Dolphin


Buying into the excitement over companies’ Initial Public Offerings may not be a golden ticket, warns wealth manager Brewin Dolphin.

Tim Walker - Divisional Director and Head of Office, Brewin Dolphin Exeter

Research from the group shows that, of the seven companies that debuted on the UK stock market in the last twelve months, four are currently trading below their flotation price and only two have left investors sitting on significant gains.

“The hype surrounding the Royal Mail float may encourage people to think that buying shares when a company floats is a sure-fire way to make money,” warned Tim Walker, Divisional Director and Head of Office Brewin Dolphin Exeter: “Our experience along with our research show that people need to be far more careful than this.”

Royal Mail shares, which floated at 330 pence per share, have given their investors a gain of over 50 per cent since July last year, prompting many retail investors to feel that they missed out on profit as individual allocations were limited.

However, investors in Saga, Pets at Home and Infinis Energy are all nursing losses. Infinis shares were down almost 20pc from their flotation price at the time of writing.

Merlin Entertainments, owner of Madame Tussauds, has seen its shares rise 18pc since its debut in November last year, but Tim Walker warned that this was the exception rather than the rule.

“Investors should be careful not to get their fingers burnt,” he said. “Be aware that companies always float for a reason. One reason could be to maximise profit for the company’s current owners and as with any share investment, you should consider how well your own interests will be served by the purchase.”


ENDS


Performance of recent UK IPOs with retail allocation
Announced Date
Issuer Name
Offer Size (M)
Offer Price
Last Close
% change since IPO*
11/04/2013
Infinis Energy Plc
237.906
260
208.5
-19.81
10/21/2013
Merlin Entertainments PLC
1052.67
315
372.6
18.29
02/19/2014
Pets at Home Group Plc
490
245
216
-11.84
09/24/2013
Riverstone Energy Ltd
760.352
1000
890.5
-10.95
07/10/2013
Royal Mail PLC
1980
330
501
51.82
04/30/2014
Saga Ltd
550
185
179.25
-3.11
05/27/2014
TSB Banking Group PLC
362.5
tbc


*% correct on 11.6.14

Performance of UK IPOs with retail allocation over past five years (above, below or in line with floatation price)

Up
% of total
Down
% of total
In-line
% of total
Total
To Date
17
44.7
18
47.4
3
7.9
38
First Day
25
65.8
10
26.3
3
7.9
38
First Week
26
68.4
9
23.7
3
7.9
38
First Month
24
63.2
10
26.3
4
10.5
38
First Year
15
39.5
15
39.5
8
21.1
38

Performance of all UK IPOs over past five years (above, below or in line with floatation price)

Up
% of total
Down
% of total
In-line
% of total
Total
To Date
107
42.0
97
38.0
51
20.0
255
First Day
169
65.8
39
15.2
49
19.1
257
First Week
153
59.5
48
18.7
56
21.8
257
First Month
136
61.8
59
26.8
25
11.4
220
First Year
72
50.0
61
42.4
11
7.6
144

http://www.brewindolphinmedia.co.uk

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